Dig into today’s MLB DFS slate to highlight your best stacking bats.
This article will cover two to three teams that we believe are the most stackable for MLB contests. If you’re new to DFS or MLB or want a general refresher on the impact of stacking in MLB, check out our MLB Lineup Strategy refresher article.
Chicago Cubs (vs. Pittsburgh Pirates)
Okay, so the Cubs were in this article yesterday and made 21 points. While that result is literally never something we can expect, the Cubs are once again in a solid stacking position against JT Brubaker and the Pirates. Brubaker got off to a good start last time out, going five innings and allowing just two hits and two earned runs, but that was also against Milwaukee who currently have one of the worst offenses in the NL statistically. The other two starts, Brubaker went 7.1 innings, allowing nine hits and eight homers. While Brubaker is a negative WAR pitcher during his three-year career, he also allowed a home run once in every 22 at-bats. The only thing working for Brubaker this year is his lead which is used a lot more than last season. In fact, the Sinker and Slider make up 67% of Brubaker locations. While Brubaker throws the lead more, the ground ball rate is also lower than 2020 and 2021, so I think these are just a few quirks to work out due to the small sample sizes. As it turns out, Brubaker has a 7.30 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP – the Pirates managed to use just four pitchers yesterday, but the bullpen won’t be in a good position for this one. this. The southpaws have the advantage over Brubaker, so switch back to Happ, Heyward and Rivas if he starts. There is a threat of rain for this game, but that’s something the user will have to watch out for as I’m not one to make weather calls the day before a game.
Tampa Bay Rays (vs. Boston Red Sox)
Rich Hill takes Hill for the Red Sox today against the Rays and while his ending ERA last year ended up being below 4.00, Hill was also a vulnerable arm at times his pitching repertoire having died in two places with his age. Now 42, Hill will basically bring in a 4 seam and a curveball and use them at around 45% each. It’s been that way for a few years now, as with age Hill relies on movement and location as his speed struggles to touch 88MPH these days. I’m a firm believer in working with what you’ve got – we’re also seeing that with guys like Bumgartner and Greinke – former pitchers turned into shooting and filming artists. That being said, Hill’s 2022 campaign has been slow as he went 4.1 and 4.2 innings in his first two starts, allowing 11 hits and seven earned runs. Tanner Houck is probably relieving Hill here so we don’t know exactly how long Hill will last here but with no speed and low smell percentage I love targeting teams that will put the ball in play and that’s what we’ll get with the Rays here. While the sample is only nine innings, Hill allows a flyball percentage of 41.9, which is more than 10% better than any other point in his career. If Houck piggybacks on that start as reports say, his metrics all rank in the bottom 30% in MLB right now despite having a 3.21 ERA. Again, very early in the season, but the Rays after a dead offensive game on Saturday until extras, still have a roster that can rack up the points.