Political strategies

Road ahead: BJP reads signals for 2024, looks at areas, strategies to work on

Emboldened by his victories in Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Manipurthe BJP has started strategizing for the upcoming elections, saying it starts planning the next ones the same night the results of one are released.

On Thursday, Prime Minister Narendra Modi said indirectly that Thursday’s results would lead to a BJP victory in the next general election. Recalling how some pundits had described the 2017 election result in Uttar Pradesh as deciding the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, Modi said: “I believe this time too they will say the 2022 results decided the 2024 results.”

With the results widely seen as an endorsement of the BJP’s welfare policy – diverse programs and an efficient delivery system, transcending castes and religions – party sources said they would focus on consolidating its new “bank of votes” of “women and beneficiaries of social regimes” to consolidate them further.

Leaders within

Internally, the emergence of Yogi Adityanath as a leader who “succeeded in fusing his Hindutva image into the champion of development and good governance” and secured a “strong mandate for himself” could alter the power equations within the party. When asked what the impact would be on the internal party system, a senior party official replied, “You can’t ignore Yogi at any time. You can’t ignore the fact that he got a powerful mandate for himself in the most crucial state. He became an equal or just second leader after Modi. None of the main leaders other than Modi has obtained such a mandate.

Party leaders have indicated that the BJP will soon start solving the problems of its state units, especially those affected by internal disputes, especially in Rajasthan and Karnataka, at the organizational level. Work will also begin to ensure that the candidates hand-picked by its leaders win the presidential and vice-presidential elections which take place in a few months. With the numbers in his favor, the only task would be to zero in on the “right candidate” as proposed by a party leader.

The BJP also sees the results as a referendum on Prime Minister Modi’s popularity and the party’s governance record. Having refused during the campaign to accept the election as a referendum on Modi or the Centre, many leaders have now claimed the results were an endorsement of Modi’s policies over the past seven years.

Opposition vote banks

With the Samajwadi party winning a significant number of seats and vote share, rising from 22% to 32%, the BJP faces an area of ​​concern and will seek to win back support groups that appear to have followed the SP. During the campaign, Home Minister Amit Shah had worked to win back the Jats – a community that had become angry with the BJP over unrest among farmers – and extended an invitation to the Rashtriya Lok Dal; party sources have indicated that he may work to bring the RLD into the fold of the NDA. The party will also focus on winning back non-Yadav OBC communities, sections of which may have supported the SP in this election, the sources said.

BJP leaders say his “development agenda” has worked like a charm in all four states, except in Punjab where he says he didn’t have much interest.

The demolition of the BSP would be another area where the BJP would unleash new strategies. The party could take organizational and governmental initiatives to consolidate its Dalit support base across the country.

Newsletter | Click to get the best explainers of the day delivered to your inbox