The latest opinion poll, NOIPolls said in a statement posted on its website, involved telephone interviews with a proportionate nationwide sample of 1,000 randomly selected Nigerians aged 18 and over who owned a telephone.
By Jeffrey Agbo
NOIPolls announced that a new opinion poll it conducted found that 74% (about 7 out of 10) of Nigerian adults surveyed revealed that they were not registered members of any political party in the country.
The poll, which covers gender, geographical locations and age group, was conducted in the week of August 15, 2022, and is the second in the series of monthly election polls conducted by NOIPolls as Nigerians countdown to the general. elections in 2023.
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The first such poll in the electoral series – Citizen’s Trust in Electoral Integrity, was conducted in July 2022. NOIPolls was founded by the Director General of the World Trade Organization, Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala.
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The latest opinion poll, said the NOIPolls in a statement posted on its website, involved telephone interviews with a nationwide proportionate sample of 1,000 randomly selected Nigerians aged 18 and over who owned a telephone, representing all six geopolitical regions and 36 states and the FCT of the country. Interviews were conducted in 5 languages - Igbo, Hausa, Yoruba, Pidgin English and Anglais.
According to NOIPolls, 20% of adult Nigerians admitted that they are registered members of different political parties and have membership cards, while 6% are registered members but do not have membership cards.
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The poll organizers said, “Additionally, the results revealed that the All-Progressive Congress (APC) has the largest share (41%) of respondents who are registered members. In addition, 34% of respondents said they are registered members of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), while 10% are registered with the Labor Party (LP) ahead of the 2023 general election.
“Furthermore, 10% of respondents preferred not to disclose their partisan affiliations. Finally, of the 89% of Nigerian adults who said they were registered to vote in the upcoming 2023 general election, 95% acknowledged that they were looking forward to voting in the 2023 general election.”
The NOIPolls said: “The first question revealed that an overwhelming majority of Nigerian adults nationwide (89%) claimed to have registered to vote in the upcoming general election in 2023. This claim intersects with gender , geopolitical areas and age group with at least 83% representation. On the contrary, 11% said the opposite.
“Poll results further revealed that 95% of those who claimed to have registered to vote expressed enthusiasm to vote in the 2023 general election. This view also cuts across gender, geographic locations and group. of age with a minimum representation of 92%. However, 5% of them said they were not looking forward to voting in the 2023 general election.
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“Additionally, to gain insight into the proportion of Nigerian adults who are registered members of political parties, respondents were asked: Are you currently a registered member of a political party? The results revealed that a large portion of adult Nigerians are not registered with any political party in the country. The analysis by gender shows that there are more women (82%) than men (66%) surveyed who mentioned that they are not registered with any political party in the country.
“On the other hand, 20% of adult Nigerians admitted that they are registered members of different political parties and have membership cards, although 6% say they are registered members but have no of membership card.
“Subsequently, respondents who claimed to be registered members were further questioned to determine the political party they represent. The result revealed that the All-Progressive Congress (APC) has the largest share (41%) of respondents who are registered members, independent of those who have a membership card. The analysis by region indicates that APC has more registered members in the northern region (50%) than in the southern region (26%).
NOIPolls added: “Further results revealed that 34% of respondents said they were registered members of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), while 10% are registered with the Labor Party (LP) ahead of the 2023 general election. The analysis by region also revealed that the PDP and LP have more registered members from the southern region with 44% and 18% respectively.
“Similarly, respondents who are not registered were asked more about the political party with which they are likely to register. The poll result revealed that the PDP (13%) and LP (13%) both have the same proportion of respondents who are likely to register with them, while 8% mentioned APC, 2% said NNPP.
“Further analysis showed that 41% of respondents declined to disclose the political party they would register with, while 13% said they would not register with any political party in the country. .”